Wednesday, April 25, 2012

~Table of Contents~

Introduction-
   Music Video
   Introductory Essay

Interview
   Chris O'Brien Interviews Craig Blanchard
 
Genres-
  1.    Wall Street-Smarts
  2.    Get Well Economy
  3.    Breaking News + Visual
  4.    Today In Class
  5.    The Greatest Product Ever

Mind Map
   The journey to my big question

Concluding Essay 
   Some Ideas and Theories for Solutions

Friday, April 13, 2012

I was given the task of picking a topic and extensively researching and reporting out on it. I chose the United States economic crisis and how or if it can be fixed. I explored many sources and found many different points of view. Before we get started, here is one of those points of view.

This video is a satirical music video about the United States debt crisis and how Remy, the rapper, perceives that our government is dealing with it. He uses a lot of government buildings and symbols such as Air Force One and the presidential limo in the background. The video uses satire to bring up important issues by poking fun at them; meaning that he’s attempting to bring the debt and our methods of “stabilizing” our economy by raping about it. He even mentions how we often look to China to help us with our economy by asking for loans. As Remy puts it, “Our debt is more unsustainable then my rap career.”

This video can be found at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoS52fVtVQM

Introduction

     Imagine an 18-wheeler speeding down the highway, going faster than any other vehicle. The truck is self-sufficient to a point, but not enough to run it completely. So the truck borrows fuel from the surrounding vehicles to keep going faster. The driver promises to stop further down the road and make enough fuel to pay back the other vehicles that it borrowed from. But the truck doesn’t ever want to stop, it just keeps going faster and faster. The truck has been pushed to the point that its safety systems like the brakes can’t work properly. The only things that can slow it down are natural forces that are out of the driver’s hands.
The driver is aware of this problem, but the road ahead seems to be straight for miles. It doesn’t seem like the road will ever turn so he presses his foot down on the accelerator and keeps going faster. After a long while the driver sees a turn in the road. He tries to brake but he realizes that the brakes were gone a long time ago. The driver now has to prepare to take the turn going extremely fast. The chances of making the turn are slim, but there’s no time to way the chances anymore. As the driver stares down the turn, he begins to wonder how fast he will be going, how he will have to turn the wheel in order to avoid tipping over, and what he will do if he doesn’t make the turn.
     Now imagine that the truck is the United States economy and the driver represents the mind of the average American for the past 60 year or so. As a country we have almost always had a high demand for all kinds of goods. A high demand for products also comes with a high price tag. America generates a large amount of money every year, but between promised money to its citizens and required spending on various government programs there is a large gap in our funds every year. This gap needs to be filled, and who better to fill it than other countries around the world.
     In addition to borrowing money from other countries, we are also purchasing a lot of products from other countries, which is called importing. If we were producing more of our own goods then our money would stay within our borders and it would be easier to get the money together to pay off our debt. But because our money is also going to the countries that we borrow from, we are left with a problem. The question now is why we import so much. The answer is simple, imported goods are often cheaper. Because wages and production costs are lower in other countries, companies can sell their products cheaper. This keeps the demand high, especially with Americans. When you’re a company that enjoys buying so much we often take the cheapest price.
     China is the most commonly used example because it fits the stereotype very well. As my History teacher informed me in an interview, “One of the complaints that the US government has regarding the Chinese government and the Chinese currency is they keep it artificially low" (Blanchard). Because their economy has been strengthening at a steady rate in the past twenty years their currency value should be a lot higher than it is. Keeping it low is very beneficial for China because it keeps their prices down. As long as this is true, Americans will keep buying their products. If China could increase their monetary value then we would be able to keep more of our money in-country to strengthen our economy. The Chinese believe that increasing their monetary value would cause some instability within their own economy. With solutions like this right in front of us, we still are faced with the choice of defaulting on the loans that we've borrowed. “If we default on our debt, which I think is possible, would hurt lots of people, not just the Chinese. Lot of Americans who own treasury bills would not get paid” (Blanchard).
     Up until fifth grade my view of a dollar was that it had an indefinite value; one dollar was equal to four quarters, ten dimes, 20 nickels, or one hundred pennies. My teacher, trying to explain how the value of a dollar could change over time, presented me with a graph that showed the value of one United States dollar over a twenty-year span. It took some time for the meaning of the line to set in. After I learned about this changing value my entire concept of our monetary system changed. I began questioning whether or not something like the Great Depression could happen again. The first time I was taught about the great depression my opinion was that it was a one-time event, a bug in the system that had been fixed for good. It wasn’t until the beginning of my high school career when I began questioning why it happened. The answer to the question of what happened is an easy one, but why it happened is more difficult to explain to a young student. Nevertheless my teacher tried and partially succeeded. I then asked the question of why there was no way to stop the fluctuations in the value of a currency.
     I’m sure that if there was an easy answer to my question, my history teacher would have told me, but she did not. I was beginning to form an understanding that the value of a dollar could easily be placed on a graph like ocean waves rising and falling. As a young student that likes to simplify things, I could imagine a solid horizontal line cutting across the graph down the median value of a dollar throughout the years. I wasn’t imagining it for any mathematical purpose. I had established in my mind that it couldn’t be impossible to bring the value of a dollar to this stable line and hold it there indefinitely.
     These days it’s known throughout the world that America isn’t all too great with handling money. The country has been in debt for many years and the numbers have only been rising higher and higher. In previous years this bowlder of debt has been hanging by a very thick rope, but with that rope getting thinner and thinner over the years, we are faced with a decision; do the leaders of America fix this problem now or hand it down to the next generation. That’s what all the previous generations have done. In the past governments have promised to do a few things to help slow down the spiral that our country is caught in. Even with these promised adding up to a rather minute effect on the economy, most of them have never been completed so the effects have been even less. Soon enough the next government officials are elected and it’s their problem.
This has been going on for generations. Only now is the serious search for a solution to our economic crisis being searched for. Still, some problems stand in our way. The book Freakonomics says, "Even widespread societal gains inevitably produce losses for some people" (Levitt 2005). However, as a wise man once said, “This time, rather than talking about the problem, we’re talking about solutions" (I.O.U.S.A. Solutions). The only question now is, are we too late?

Interview with Craig Blanchard

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Test Your Skills!

The following is a test on common and uncommon knowledge questions about currencies around the world. Write all your answers down and then see the list of answers bellow to check your Wall Street-smarts.

1) Who's face is featured on the front of a United States one dollar bill?
A. George Washington
B. Abraham Lincoln
C. Henry Ford
D. Thomas Edison

2) What is the value of the largest United States bill ever created?
Hint: It was only printed for twenty two days and never entered public circulation
A. $1,000
B. $10,000
C. $50,000
D. $100,000

3) What does "GDP" abbreviate in economics?
A. Good Dealer's Program
B. Good Deficit Production
C. Gross Domestic Product
D. Gross Donation Profits

4) Is it better to have a low credit score or a high one?
A. High
B. Low
C. Doesn't matter
D. What's a credit score?

5) What was the first year that the US Department of Treasury first issue paper notes?
A. 1790
B. 1901
C. 1827
D. 1862

6) On the back of a $100 US bill what is the approximate time on the Independence Hall clock?
A. 12:30
B. 7:15
C. 4:10
D. 2:15

7) What are United States bills made of?
A. 25 percent linen and 75 percent cotton
B. 10 percent cotton and 90 percent linen
C. 25 percent silk 75 percent linen
D. 50 percent silk 50 percent flax

8) Who is the richest person alive in the world as of March, 2012.
A. Bill Gates
B. Warren Buffet
C. Carlos Slim Helu
D. Chris O'Brien

9) One dollar bills make up about how much of the US paper notes printed?
A. 28%
B. 75%
C. 36%
D. 48%

Answer Key:
1)A  2)D  3)C  4)A  5)D
6)C  7)A  8)C  9)D

Get Well America

Dear American Economy,
  I know we haven't spoken in a while but word's gotten around that you're in a rough spot and I just wanted to make sure you're okay. I know that you've been partially blaming me for your problems lately but you've dug this hole yourself. But I don't want to harp at you again for being too greedy and borrowing too much money from your friends, I just wanted to respond to your request that I got in the mail this past week. You asked me that I increase the value of my money to be closer to the value of yours. I know that this would help you get better which is why I'm sorry to inform you that I just can't afford it. If I increase the value of my money then I might become as unstable as you have been. Keeping the value of my money low has always worked for me and that's what I intend on doing in the future. I'm sorry you're in the place you're in but like I said it's your own fault and now you have to suffer the consequences. I hope you can figure something out soon because you still owe me over a trillion dollars and I need it soon.


                                                                                  Sincerely,
                                                                                  China

Breaking News!

December 12, 2012      The New York Times

Stock Market Crashes!
 Today there was an accident at the corner of Wall Street and American Avenue. Witnesses believe that 35 year old Stock P. Market from New York was speeding down the highway with incredible speed when he lost control of his vehicle and crashed into a cement support beam, splitting the vehicle in two. No other drivers were injured but Mr. Market is currently being air-lifted to a nearby medical center. Stock has a long history of getting into similar accidents but has always walked away with no more then a few scratches. Even the most optimistic persons now have to be asking themselves, how many more accidents can Stock Market make it through?

Breaking News! Cont.

This is a photo from the "Breaking News!" news report.

In Teacher's Absence

  Students,
 I'm sorry that I can't be with you through this unit of your American History class, but here is a list of some of the topics you will be learning about and discussing with you're long-term substitute.
  • Cover the basics of economics
  • America's current economic situation
  • How did it all start?
  • China's role in the US economy
  • China's artificially low currency value
  • Current action being taken to repair the US economy
  • Some radical actions that can be taken
  • Project
For the project you will be required to come up with you're own plan of at least one thing that can be done to fix America's current economic situation. You will be required to give a speech to try to convince the class that you're plan is best for the economy. The class will then vote on the plan and if it passes the student gets a 100 for his or her project.

Have a great quarter! I can't wait to see you all when I return in April

The Greatest Product Ever

The Money Tree!
We've all dreamed of a chance to own our very own money tree at least once in our lives. A magical tree that sprouts dollar bills from it's branches. Well we here at Impossible Inc. are proud to say that we have begun mass production of such a tree! We have run many test to make sure that each dollar printed is completely real and not a reproduction dollar. One hundred percent real mean one hundred percent satisfaction guaranteed! Just imagine having your own tree that you can plant in your yard that pays for itself ten-fold in just one season? The Money Tree is now being sold for just $1 in South Paris, Maine. This tree can live in almost any climate. We have even planted one in the Sahara Desert with no water for a month and a half. The dollar amount of the bills decreased slightly, but the tree continued to generate money. This product is the best on the market. Supplies are limited and results may very. 
 

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Mind Map

The following is a map that starts at the beginning of this project and follows the topics, concepts, and ideas that I learned about on my way to discovering my big question. The map begins at the value of money and branches off into various directions before ending up with my question.
Picture may be replaced for photocopied version

Monday, April 9, 2012

Conclusion

The United States economy is such a complicated machine to understand. With so many different ways to understand what’s going on, there are an equally impressive number of solutions to the problems at hand. In a lecture at the London Institute of Economics and Social Science in June 2011 Tim Harford, known for coming up with unique ways to approach disasters and other major issues, talks about disasters that happened around the world in recent years. He focuses on man-made disasters that caused economic crises.
Harford is someone who talks about risk taking and thinking of new and sometimes unusual ways to prevent future crises based on past ones. Harford believes that in order to understand what happens to our economy during a crisis we have to understand what caused the crisis. He says in the lecture, “I needed to understand how these very tightly coupled, complex systems, industrial systems operate because maybe that would tell me what went wrong in the city, what went wrong on wall street.” His first example was an insurance problem that happened about 20 years ago. An insurance company insured an oil rig that was fitted to pump gas. The company wasn’t sure that they could pay in full if the rig had some kind of emergency, so they had their insurance insured by another company. This is called reassurance. Well this other insurance company also had to get reassurance with a third company, who ended up getting themselves insured by the original company. This safety net of reassurance had set up the whole system to collapse if anything disastrous happened to the rig.
Needless to say, the rig blew up. The insurance companies were all interlocked and all they could do was pass the debt around the table until finally the whole system collapsed. Harford realized that the system he had to understand was the system that malfunctioned on the rig, not the insurance system. The most important point that he makes is about complex, tightly-coupled systems. A system that’s complex is something that can’t be completely understood by one person alone; it takes multiple people to function properly. Tightly coupled systems, as Hartford explained, are like dominoes stacked together where you flick one over and they all fall in a series of chain reactions. He explains how simple, tightly-coupled systems and complex, loosely-coupled systems are perfectly acceptable. However, complex, tightly-coupled systems are inevitably going to fail, and when one part of the system fails the whole system is going to fail.
Harford explains how he believes that the financial system exceeds the complexity of the most complex systems in our advanced society and as we all know it is extremely tightly coupled. This makes the financial system extremely difficult to experiment with. He also refers to some people that made a book that was all about problems caused by safety systems such as a fire being caused by a fire alarm. He explains that because some safety systems don’t necessarily help and can sometimes be the cause of a problem, it only makes the system more complex. He uses another example of a nuclear reactor near Detroit that almost killed 75,000 people but didn’t actually kill anyone because the problem was fixed. The reactor was behaving erratically and no one could figure out why. The people working at the reactor tried cooling it down but it was just getting hotter. After about a month they realized that a crushed piece of a safety device had been knocked loose from inside the reactor and had ended up blocking the drain for the coolant; a safety device almost causing a disaster.
When more and more safety features are introduced into a system it creates new ways for the system to fail. More ways for a system to fail mean that it is harder to diagnose a problem when one arises because there are too many possible causes, some that no one could predict. The whole point that Harford tries to make in the video is that safety systems put in place within financial systems have caused some financial crisis such as the insurance company issue that I spoke about earlier.
As Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner wrote in their book Freakonomics, “One year we’re told bonding is the key, the next that its birth order. Wait, what really matters is stimulation. The first five years of life are the most important; no, the first three years; no, it’s all over by the first year” (Dubner, 2005). They were talking about the key to raising a child in the most beneficial way and how the best solution seems to change every year. The same can be said for how to fix America’s economic crisis.
The movie I.O.U.S.A. stated that various reforms in our economy are the first step that we need to take. We consume more in money than we can produce, requiring us to borrow money. The first step of reforms would make that need for money significantly less. An older man in the movie talked about how when he was a kid everything in the economy was doing great. His generation was the first where everyone went to college and that could accomplish anything they put their mind to. Now that things have changed he believes that expectations are becoming more realistic. He mentions how his parents grew up in the depression and that they were grateful for everything they had, and that his children were most likely going to have to adapt and start being happier with what they have.
Weather some, all, or none of these suggested fixes are used one thing remains true; something has to be done. The concern has been openly stated that this massive debt is just going to be handed down from generation to generation until the entire economy collapses. People are doing more now to stop this from happening than ever before. However, if we have already dug our hole too deep then we might not be able to stop this from happening anymore. The solution may be out of our hands and in the hands of those countries who we have borrowed these trillions of dollars from. Whatever happens next is anyone’s guess. The debt is growing rapidly. "Forty thousand dollars per person we owe, who's paying that?" (Blanchard). Are we going to pay off that debt or leave it to the next generation. People make speculations on what the future of America’s economy every day but the time for speculation is largely over and the time for change has arrived.

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Work Cited

Harford, Tim. "Preventing Financial Meltdowns." The London School of Economics
     and Political Science. Sheikh Zayed Theatre. 8 June 2011. Youtube. Web. 26
     Apr. 2012. <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCmFWiSCm7A>.

I.O.U.S.A. Solutions. Patrick Creadon. Peter G. Peterson Foundation, 2010.
     I.O.U.S.A.: The Movie. Web. 24 Apr. 2012.
     <http://www.iousathemovie.com/>. 

Levitt, Steven, and Stephen Dubner. Freakonomics. N.p.: Harper Collins
     Publishers, 2005. Amazon. Web. 27 Apr. 2012. <http://www.amazon.com/
     Freakonomics-Economist-Explores-Hidden-Everything/dp/006073132X>.

Remy. "Raise the Debt Ceiling." Dir. Meredith Bragg. Youtube. Web. 27 Apr. 2012.
     <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoS52fVtVQM>.